Freeman Dyson, being interviewed about his climate catastrophe skepticism, claims that some professions have trouble shrugging off issues as unimportant. He thinks there be a natural tendency to magnify threats:
»Really, just psychologically, it would be very difficult for them to come out and say, “Don’t worry, there isn’t a problem.” It’s sort of natural, since their whole life depends on it being a problem. I don’t say that they’re dishonest. But I think it’s just a normal human reaction. It’s true of the military also. They always magnify the threat. Not because they are dishonest; they really believe that there is a threat and it is their job to take care of it.«
Obviously, computer security is another candidate. Paranoia is the norm in our subculture, we love to carry a better safe than sorry attitude. To an extent this attitude is justified by experience; there are many case studies of security not being taken seriously, leading to epic fail. Yet, more security technology is not always better. Do we have tools to reasonably say: »Don’t worry,« and justify our recommendation based on facts?
