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Archiv der Kategorie: English
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The Joy of Stats
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Fearmongering on TV
Risk Compensation and Bicycle Helmets
Found via de.rec.fahrrad:
This study investigated risk compensation by cyclists in response to bicycle helmet wearing by observing changes in cycling behavior, reported experience of risk, and a possible objective measure of experienced risk. The suitability of heart rate variability (HRV) as an objective measure of experienced risk was assessed beforehand by recording HRV measures in nine participants watching a thriller film. We observed a significant decrease in HRV in line with expected increases in psychological challenge presented by the film. HRV was then used along with cycling pace and self-reported risk in a field experiment in which 35 cyclist volunteers cycled 0.4 km downhill, once with and once without a helmet. Routine helmet users reported higher experienced risk and cycled slower when they did not wear their helmet in the experiment than when they did wear their helmet, although there was no corresponding change in HRV. For cyclists not accustomed to helmets, there were no changes in speed, perceived risk, or any other measures when cycling with versus without a helmet. The findings are consistent with the notion that those who use helmets routinely perceive reduced risk when wearing a helmet, and compensate by cycling faster. They thus give some support to those urging caution in the use of helmet laws.
This video is totally unrelated.
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Bad move
He’s not as smart as he thinks he is:
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Notice how he keeps increasing and increasing and increasing the apparent value of the laptop he had lost? Instead of talking like this, he should have done two things, backups and disk encryption. It seems that the way he tried to get his computer back didn’t work out.
Think about this
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Following rules vs. wise practice
(ted)
The power of vulnerability
(ted)
Book Title Fail
Don’t walk on fish
Security as a classification problem
Security requires that one can tell the bad guys and the good guys¹ apart. Security is thus, at least in part, a classification problem. Different approaches to security use different typs of classifiers. The Israeli profiling described in the video above essentially implements one particular decision tree. There is nothing particularly good or bad about this particular tree compared to others, or to entirely different ways of doing the job. What matters in the first place is that the classifier is either correct—it never confuses good and bad—or that it is at least biased in the right direction—it may misclassify good guys as bad guys², but not bad guys as good guys. A secondary consideration is efficency. The Isreali approach to airport security optimizes efficiency for a particular threat model.
¹ Or other entities. Security classification may work on objects, actions, situations, or really any combination of features that might matter.
² Assuming the enforcement stage of the mechanism does not cause permanent damage to entities classified as bad.
Math Doodling
10 things that no one has ever said before
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Merry Something
Statistics quote
This might be true not only for psychology:
“Data without theory have a low life expectancy, like a baby without a parent. We need to develop more theoretical courage.”
Gerd Gigerenzer, quoted in: Null Science: Psychology’s statistical status quo draws fire

